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Old July 13th, 2008, 03:17 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 131735
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
200 PM AST SUN JUL 13 2008

...BERTHA HESITATES AGAIN...REFUSES TO MOVE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST OR ABOUT 190
MILES...310 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA ONCE AGAIN HAS STALLED AND LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...BERTHA SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR...THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY PASS NOT FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO...ALTHOUGH THE MOTION COULD BE ERRATIC AT TIMES AND
COULD BRING THE CENTER OF BERTHA CLOSER TO BERMUDA THAN THE
FORECAST TRACK INDICATES.

PRELIMINARY DATA DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...30.0 N...63.0 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...991 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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Lisa
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