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Old September 11th, 2008, 02:15 PM
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000
WTPZ33 KNHC 111440
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132008
800 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2008

...LOWELL MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TOWARD
MAINLAND MEXICO...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND NORTHERN SINALOA STATE...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...125 KM...NORTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH..AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...LOWELL WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA TODAY AND INTO MAINLAND MEXICO TONIGHT WHERE IT WILL
QUICKLY DISSIPATE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LOWELL MOVES INLAND
OVER MAINLAND MEXICO. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA AND MAINLAND MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

LOWELL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA IN MAINLAND MEXICO.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...23.8 N...109.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Lisa
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