UPDATE: The stock markewt has rebounded the last week. Oil is still just above $50/barrel, but some analysts are saying it has been over-sold, meaning the price is lower than the market can justify.
Some market people are saying the price could come above $70/barrel again in the next two weeks. If it does then Carnival will NOT be offering the promised discounts. If it is above $65/barrel on December 18 then RCL and NCL will put off their rebates until after the first quartter of 2008, minimum.