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Old October 19th, 2009, 01:01 AM
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000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190237
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 2009

...RICK WEAKENS...BUT STILL A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA EARLY MONDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES
...660 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THEN NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. RICK IS THEN FORECAST
TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...230
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RICK IS STILL EXPECTED
TO BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 936 MB...27.64 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.0N 110.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
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Lisa
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