Thread: Atlantic - Alex
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Old June 28th, 2010, 10:21 PM
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Statement as of 7:00 PM CDT on June 28, 2010

...Alex moving little...

summary of 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...20.6n 91.6wabout 420 mi...675 km ESE of Tampico Mexicoabout 525 mi...845 km se of Brownsville Texasmaximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/hrpresent movement...stationaryminimum central pressure...990 mb...29.23 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the RioGrande* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz
a tropical storm watch in in effect for...* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor
a Hurricane Warning could be required for a portion of the HurricaneWatch area tonight.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possiblewithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hoursbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-forcewinds...conditions that make outside preparations difficult ordangerous.
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions arepossible within the watch area...generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the UnitedStates...including possible inland watches and warnings...pleasemonitor products issued by your local National Weather Serviceforecast office. For storm information specific to your area outsideUnited States...please monitor products issued by your Nationalmeteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Alex waslocated near latitude 20.6 north...longitude 91.6 west. Alex hasbeen nearly stationary over the past few hours...but is expected toresume a north-nortwestward motion near 5 mph...7 km/hr...tonight. An increase in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest areexpected on Tuesday...followed by a turn toward the west-northweston Wednesday. On the forecast track...Alex will move across thesouthern Gulf of Mexico and approach the coast within the HurricaneWatch area late Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/hr...with highergusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours...and Alex is expected to become a hurricane on Tuesday. A hurricanehunter plane is currently approaching the center of Alex.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 kmfrom the center. An automated station from the Mexican Navy at cayoarcas...located just to the southwest of the center of Alex...recently reported a sustained wind of 38 mph...61 km/hr...anda gust of 45 mph...73 km/hr.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb...29.23 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------rainfall...Alex is expected to produce additional rainfallaccumulations of 3 to 6 inches over southern Mexico and the YucatanPeninsula through Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inchesare possible over mountainous areas. These rains could causelife-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Heavy rains could reach the coastal areas of tamaulipas and northernVeracruz of Mexico and south Texas Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to approach the coastwithin the hurricane and tropical storm watch areas on Wednesday...making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...1000 PM CDT.
$$Forecaster Pasch/Kimberlain
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