Thread: Atlantic - Earl
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Old September 1st, 2010, 02:10 AM
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Statement as of 2:00 am AST on September 01, 2010

...Powerful Hurricane Earl beginning to move away from the Turks andCaicos Islands...

summary of 200 am AST...0600 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...23.5n 70.7wabout 145 mi...235 km NNE of Grand Turk islandabout 860 mi...1385 km SSE of Cape Hatteras North Carolinamaximum sustained winds...135 mph...215 km/hrpresent movement...NW or 315 degrees at 15 mph...24 km/hrminimum central pressure...942 mb...27.82 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* north of Surf City North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginiaborder...including the Pamlico and Albemarle sounds
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Turks and Caicos Islands
a tropical storm watch is in effect for...* southeastern Bahamas* Cape Fear to Surf City
a Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possiblewithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hoursbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-forcewinds...conditions that make outside preparations difficult ordangerous.
Interests from Virginia northward to New England should monitorthe progress of Earl.
For storm information specific to your area in the UnitedStates...including possible inland watches and warnings...pleasemonitor products issued by your local National Weather Serviceforecast office. For storm information specific to your area outsidethe United States...please monitor products issued by your Nationalmeteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 200 am AST...0600 UTC...the center of Hurricane Earl was locatednear latitude 23.5 north...longitude 70.7 West. Earl is movingtoward the northwest near 15 mph...24 km/hr. This general motion isexpected to continue on Wednesday with a gradual turn to thenorth-northwest thereafter. On the forecast track...the core ofthe hurricane will be passing well east and northeast of the Turksand Caicos Islands tonight and northeast of the Bahamas tomorrow.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...215 km/hr...with highergusts. Earl is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpsonhurricane wind scale. Little change in strength is expectedthrough Wednesday.
Earl is a large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward upto 90 miles...150 km...from the center...and tropical storm forcewinds extend outward up to 200 miles...325 km. NOAA buoy 41046recently reported sustained winds of 72 mph...115 km/hr...withgusts to 85 mph...137 km/hr.
The minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force Reservehurricane hunter aircraft is 942 mb...27.82 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------winds...tropical storm conditions are probably occurring in thevicinity of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Weather conditions willlikely improve in these islands today.
Storm surge...above normal tides...accompanied by large anddangerous battering waves...are possible in the Turks and CaicosIslands and the southeastern Bahamas this morning.
Rainfall...rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches...with isolatedmaximum amounts of 6 inches are expected for the southeasternBahamas and for the Turk and Caicos Islands.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Beven
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