Thread: Atlantic - Earl
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Old September 4th, 2010, 02:25 AM
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Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on September 04, 2010

...Earl accelerating to the northeast...expected to bring rain and strong winds to portions of Nova Scotia...

summary of 200 am EDT...0600 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...40.6n 68.3wabout 105 mi...165 km ESE of Nantucket Massachusettsabout 240 mi...390 km SW of Cape Sable Nova Scotiamaximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hrpresent movement...NE or 50 degrees at 30 mph...48 km/hrminimum central pressure...960 mb...28.35 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* Nova Scotia from Ecum Secum westward to Digby
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Watch Hill Rhode Island eastward around Cape Cod to HullMassachusetts...including Marthas Vineyard...Nantucket Island...and Block Island* Stonington Maine to Eastport Maine* the entire coast of Nova Scotia* Prince Edward Island* New Brunswick from the U.S./Canada border eastward to fortLawrence...and from shediac to tidnish* the Magdalen islands
a tropical storm watch is in effect for...* point escuminac to shediac New Brunswick
for storm information specific to your area in the UnitedStates...including possible inland watches and warnings...pleasemonitor products issued by your local National Weather Serviceforecast office. For storm information specific to your area outsidethe United States...please monitor products issued by your Nationalmeteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 200 am EDT...0600 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Earl waslocated was loctaed by satellite and Doppler radar to be nearlatitude 40.6 north...longitude 68.3 West. Earl is moving towardthe northeast near 30 mph...48 km/hr...and a general northeastwardmotion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected overthe next day or so. On the forecast track...the center of Earl willreach the coast of Nova Scotia by early afternoon today.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next48 hours.
Earl is a large tropical storm. Tropical storm force winds extendoutward up to 205 miles...335 km from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb...28.35 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------winds...tropical storm conditions will gradually subside overeastern Massachusetts this morning. Tropical storm conditions willreach the warning area in downeast Maine later this morning...andspread into the warning area in the Canadian Maritimes by earlyafternoon.
Storm surge...water levels could rise by as much as 1 to 3 feetabove ground level around Cape Cod...especially in Cape Cod Bay.Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied by large anddestructive waves.
Rainfall...Earl is expected to produce 1 to 3 inch rainfallaccumulations over eastern New England...with isolated maximumamounts of 5 inches possible.
Surf...large swells from Earl will continue to affect the East Coastof the United States from New Jersey northward through today.These swells will likely cause dangerous surf conditions and ripcurrents.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am EDT.
$$Forecaster Stewart
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