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Old September 6th, 2005, 10:09 AM
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Location: Huntsville, AL
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Default Hurricane Nate May Affect Bermuda Early Friday

Looks like Nate is going to become a hurricane. Current track has it righ over Bermuda early Friday morning. For those going to Bermuda, here is the local weather url:

www.weather.bm

They have good local, marine, and tropical forecasts updated whenever NHC updates occur.

Here is the current Discussion form NHC:

Tropical Storm Nate Discussion Number 4


Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on September 06, 2005



satellite images indicate that the cloud pattern associated with
Nate has continued to become better organized with deep convection
has developed near the center with excellent outflow in all
quadrants. Initial intensity is 50 knots based on the average of
the satellite estimates from TAFB and SAB. The shear is expected to
be low for the next day or two so Nate is forecast to become a
hurricane. The intensity forecast follows both SHIPS and the GFDL
trends.
Nate is embedded within very weak steering currents so little motion
is expected during the next 24 hours. Thereafter...Nate should
begin to drift northward as a high develops east of Nate. Beyond 48
hours...Nate is expected to be embedded within the southwest or
west flow associated with a strong mid latitude trough. Nate should
then turn to the northeast with an increase in forward speed and
should become extratropical in about 5 days.
It appears that Bermuda will be near the forecast path of Nate.
Therefore...all interests in Bermuda should closely monitor the
progress of the tropical cyclone during the next few days.

Forecaster Avila

forecast positions and Max winds

initial 06/1500z 28.7n 66.7w 50 kt
12hr VT 07/0000z 28.8n 66.9w 60 kt
24hr VT 07/1200z 29.0n 67.2w 70 kt
36hr VT 08/0000z 29.5n 67.5w 80 kt
48hr VT 08/1200z 30.5n 67.5w 80 kt
72hr VT 09/1200z 32.5n 64.5w 80 kt
96hr VT 10/1200z 37.0n 53.5w 60 kt
120hr VT 11/1200z 42.5n 41.5w 45 kt...extratropical

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  #2 (permalink)  
Old September 6th, 2005, 12:31 PM
Parrot Mom
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Default Re: Hurricane Nate May Affect Bermuda Early Friday

IF that is the case ALL ships will have to leave when the Government of Bermuda tells them..PERIOD....no exceptions.. In ten cruises to Bermuda we have only left early once..
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