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Old October 19th, 2005, 01:26 AM
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Default EGADS!!! Wilma already a Cat 4!!!

OK - jumped from 80mph winds to 150 mph winds in less than 24 hours.......what is going on!!!!

000
WTNT34 KNHC 190502
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS 150 MPH WINDS IN WILMA...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE TO PUNTA GRUESA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...
280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 405 MILES...655
KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE PLANE MEASURED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF NEAR 150
MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE
HURRICANE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 155 MILES...250 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS IS 901 MB...26.61 INCHES.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 25 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN
ACROSS CUBA THROUGH FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN ISLAND...AND JAMAICA THROUGH
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE FROM HONDURAS
NORTHWARD TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION...16.9 N... 82.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 901 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
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Old October 19th, 2005, 03:16 AM
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Just got an update from the NHC.........could be a Cat 5 at the next update at 5:00am. What a year this has been!
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Old October 19th, 2005, 06:34 AM
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Yup, now she's a 5 but probably won't still be that strong when it makes landfall but that's not much consolation really....will be strong enough to do some major damage.....now the question is where?
Does anyone remember the thread we had in the beginning of hurricane season when we were trying to guess how far we'd get in the list of names?
Angela Z.
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Old October 19th, 2005, 06:58 AM
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So sorry for all in her path. Please keep safe mates!
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Old October 19th, 2005, 07:11 AM
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Every time they mention this storm, I can't help but think about Fred Flintstone, locked out of his "house", and screaming WILMA!!!!!!!!!
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Old October 19th, 2005, 07:13 AM
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Holy Crap!
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Old October 19th, 2005, 08:11 AM
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Wilma is certainly ugly right now, geeesh, enough already!

Hopefully she'll wind down a little before she makes landfall! Last year seemed bad enough with Charlie and the rest, but this year has been a corker, too!

Thinking of everyone!
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Old October 19th, 2005, 08:13 AM
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I just hope our ship sails on Sunday. The storm could be gone, but the winds may still be up!!!
Everyone on the West Coast--heads up!! Predicted path is down by Naples and then across the state to Ft. Lauderdale. Now the question: will it go north or south of that mid-line in the cone???

The next one will be Alpha. (I hope there isn't a next one!). This cold trough coming through should cool the water temps enough so that future storms won't be able to form as easily. That's good news!!

Lynne
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Old October 19th, 2005, 08:24 AM
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Yep and I am again holding my breath. IF it continues on the projected path, we will be ok here in Manatee County.....but my daughter, SIL and grandson are in Charlotte County....site of Charly's landfall LAST year....so I am very nervous for THEM!.....they are about 50 miles north of Naples.....so any variance north could impact THEM. We are 50 miles north of them.

The good news is that they don't expect Wilma to stay a 5 .... should be a 3 at landfall.......that's bad enough, though!
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Old October 19th, 2005, 08:27 AM
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Angela, I remember that list. I remember saying that all would be used. Now what do I win? Cardboard cookie or something? Prayers to all.

Luanne
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Old October 19th, 2005, 08:32 AM
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The lovely Mrs. Jones and I are scheduled to sail Saturday from Port Everglades, and so far looks like it won't be a major factor, except for the rain. I do hate to leave our property here in Lakeland unguarded in a storm, but the cruise is worth it. (Probably nothing I could do if we got a direct hit anyway). In any case, we can't wait to board the beautiful Caribbean Princess.
See you aboard,
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Old October 19th, 2005, 11:51 PM
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Skymaster,
You and the Lovely Mrs. Jones will truly enjoy the Caribbean Princess! Have a wonderful time. We will be in Ft. Lauderdale on Saturday, too, ahead of the storm and waiting for the Star Princess on Sunday. You're right--there's nothing we can do-the cruise is worth it!! Lynne
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