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Old August 3rd, 2006, 03:49 AM
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Default 0200 TS Chris Advisory

000
WTNT33 KNHC 030551
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
200 AM AST THU AUG 03 2006

...CHRIS BECOMING DISORGANIZED...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI TO CABO
ENGANO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST OR ABOUT
115 MILES...185 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. A
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING CHRIS.

CHRIS APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 11 MPH...18 KM/HR. A
GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHRIS WOULD STAY NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO. HOWEVER...CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO BRING OCCASIONAL HEAVY
RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PUERTO RICO AND U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 55 MPH...90 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IF THE CENTER OF CHRIS CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY
FROM THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN
THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...20.0 N...65.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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