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Old May 9th, 2007, 02:12 PM
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Default Sub Tropical Storm Andrea - first of the season!

000
WTNT31 KNHC 091757
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
200 PM EDT WED MAY 09 2007

...POORLY-ORGANIZED SUBTROPICAL STORM MEANDERING OFF THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 135
MILES ...220 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

ANDREA IS MOVING ERRATICALLY...BUT GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3
MPH. A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE OF
THE U.S. COAST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

SINCE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANDREA ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... ANDREA IS NOT EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER ANY LAND AREAS THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...30.9 N...80.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

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Old May 9th, 2007, 02:18 PM
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Great - not!; hurricane season starting just a wee bit early --- been none to get em before June 1st - the official start of Hurricane Season.
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Old May 9th, 2007, 06:44 PM
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Yeehaw! Let the rocking & the knocking begin!

Norwegian Dawn is expect to go through this area to head backto NY by Saturday. WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!
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Old May 10th, 2007, 01:19 AM
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 100232
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1100 PM EDT WED MAY 09 2007

...ANDREA NEARLY STATIONARY...FORECAST TO WEAKEN...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST OR ABOUT 135
MILES...215 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 115 MILES
...185 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

THE STORM IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND NO SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF ABOUT 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME RAINBANDS.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...30.5 N...79.8 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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Old May 10th, 2007, 02:42 AM
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Be careful over there on the coast!!
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Old May 10th, 2007, 03:18 PM
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Andrea weakening and beginning to dissipate


000
WTNT31 KNHC 101443
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1100 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2007

...ANDREA WEAKENS TO A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IS DISCONTINUED.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD...AND THIS SLOW
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE FROM
THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST TODAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 35
MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE PLANE
WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
ONE-HALF TO ONE INCH ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...79.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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Old May 11th, 2007, 02:15 AM
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This is the last update for Andrea........she is degenerating into a remnant low pressure system.


Subtropical Depression ANDREA Public Advisory
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Wind Probs Maps/Charts Archive
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



000
WTNT31 KNHC 110238
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1100 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2007

...ANDREA DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA AND
ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM...NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

ANDREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 3 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK THE REMNANT LOW OF ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
JUST OFFSHORE FROM THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...79.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME
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Old May 11th, 2007, 05:05 PM
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Wish it had brought us rain.
All we got were big waves -- that ate our beaches -- and wind.
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