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  #1 (permalink)  
Old May 30th, 2007, 02:57 AM
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Default Eastern Pacific - Tropical Storm Barbara

This one might be worth watching........closer to the mainland, but no threat at this time.....but they are predicting this one might reach hurricane strength. So far, no public advisory, but just the 3 day warnings......if this one develops will post more.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...024045W_sm.gif
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Old May 30th, 2007, 03:45 PM
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Five day prediction for Barbara.......eventually will be getting close to land...but no public advisories yet.....

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Old June 1st, 2007, 03:07 AM
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Barbara has weakened to a tropical depression so no further information will be posted about her.
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Old June 1st, 2007, 04:19 PM
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Well, Barbara decided to restrengthen again so here is the public advisory.....

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 011740
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007
1100 AM PDT FRI JUN 01 2007

...BARBARA A LITTLE STRONGER...
...OUTER RAINBANDS MOVING ONSHORE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO
AND GUATEMALA...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPACATE GUATEMALA WESTWARD
TO BARRA DE TONALA MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST OR ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE GUATEMALA/MEXICO BORDER OR ABOUT
215 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO.

BARBARA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...13.3 N...94.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
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Old June 1st, 2007, 09:43 PM
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Lisa,

Are you going to be our weather girl this year?
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Old June 1st, 2007, 10:06 PM
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Will try this year just like last year!
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Old June 1st, 2007, 10:10 PM
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Old June 2nd, 2007, 04:20 AM
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000
WTPZ32 KNHC 020600
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007
1100 PM PDT FRI JUN 01 2007

...BARBARA NOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AS IT NEARS THE COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPACATE GUATEMALA
WESTWARD TO BARRA DE TONALA MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BARRA DE TONALA TO SALINA
CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST OR ABOUT 205
MILES...335 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS
ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...OFFSHORE OF THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER.

BARBARA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE
MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...92.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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Old June 2nd, 2007, 03:25 PM
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000
WTPZ32 KNHC 021748
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARBARA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007
1100 AM PDT SAT JUN 02 2007

...MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OVER MEXICO TAKES A TOLL ON BARBARA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES...

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENTS OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA
HAVE DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARBARA
WAS LOCATED WELL INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2
WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...NORTH OF TAPACHULA MEXICO.

BARBARA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...BARBARA
WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND
GUATEMALA.

SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT BARBARA HAS
WEAKENED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE
WINDS ARE PROBABLY CONFINED TO THE COASTAL SECTION AND AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS BARBARA MOVES
FARTHER INLAND.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...15.2 N...92.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
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Old June 2nd, 2007, 03:30 PM
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I wonder if this one could get in the Gulf and reform?
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Old June 3rd, 2007, 02:35 AM
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Luanne - I don't think so. The center of the low is dissipating over the mountains of Guatemala and southern Mexico. It is very rare for a system to survive crossing the continent (narrower as it is down there) and reforming in the opposite ocean.



ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARBARA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007
200 PM PDT SAT JUN 02 2007

...BARBARA DISSIPATING OVER SOUTHEAST MEXICO...BUT STILL PRODUCING
HEAVY RAINS...

AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARBARA
WAS LOCATED WELL INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2
WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAPACHULA
MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...
BARBARA WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN
MEXICO AND GUATEMALA.

SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST MEXICO TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...15.5 N...92.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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