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Old August 12th, 2007, 02:13 AM
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Default Central Pacific....Hawaii.......Hurricane Flossie

This is from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center.......




[img]
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/2007/sat/EP092007_070812_0530_sat1.gif[/img]
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Old August 13th, 2007, 01:57 AM
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Unfortunately the graphic in the above post does not refresh automatically as do the graphics for the NHC. Looks like Flossie is weakening and will pass a little farther south and west of the big island of Hawa'ii than previously thought.


000
FXHW60 PHFO 130155
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
345 PM HST SUN AUG 12 2007

.SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE FLOSSIE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND PASS TO THE SOUTH
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/2007/graphics/EP092007W.0181.gif[/img]
[img]

.DISCUSSION...HURRICANE FLOSSIE WITH ITS MAXIMUM 115 KNOT SUSTAINED
WINDS CONTINUES TO MOVE ON A STEADY PACE TOWARD THE WEST
NORTHWEST...A PATH WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TAKE THE CENTER OF FLOSSIE
WITHIN 100 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND. OTHER ISLANDS WILL BE
FARTHER AWAY WITH LESSER EFFECT AS FLOSSIE FURTHER WEAKENS AND
PASSES TO THEIR SOUTH. TRADE WINDS SHOULD STRENGTHEN PARTICULARLY
ON THE BIG ISLAND DESPITE FLOSSIES ANTICIPATED WEAKENING. A WATCH
AND/OR ADVISORIES PRESAGING WORSENING CONDITIONS MAY BE ISSUED
EARLY TOMORROW...MAINLY FOR THE BIG ISLAND.

HEAVY RAINFALL STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SURF ASSOCIATED WITH FLOSSIE
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVING
WEATHER FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AND BEYOND...POST FLOSSIE TRADE WINDS
SHOULD BE OCCASIONALLY FRESH DUE TO A HIGH CELL MOVING CLOSER TO
HAWAII FROM THE FAR NORTH.

THE NEXT HURRICANE FORECAST PACKAGE WITH ITS DEFINING DISCUSSION
WILL PROVIDE FINER DETAIL AT 5 PM.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES...SELECTED SOUTHERN WATERS TO BE ISSUED
AT 4 PM.

&&

$$
MATSUDA
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Old August 13th, 2007, 02:33 PM
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000
WTHW80 PHFO 131553 CCA
HLSHFO
HIZ023>028-132145-

HURRICANE FLOSSIE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
544 AM HST MON AUG 13 2007

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE FLOSSIE APPROACHING THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS
THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 AM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 495 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. FLOSSIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST
NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE ON THE BIG ISLAND...PREPARE FOR THE APPROACHING
HURRICANE. REFER TO YOUR TELEPHONE DIRECTORY FOR PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION AND TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. LISTEN TO ADVICE AND
FOLLOW DIRECTIONS FROM CIVIL DEFENSE OFFICIALS. PREPARE FOR STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL BY SECURING LOOSE OBJECTS OR BRING
THEM INDOORS NOW.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WILL BRING INCREASING SURF
TOWARD THE SOUTH AND EAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY. SOUTH FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND ARE EXPECTED TO
SEE SURF RISING TO HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND WILL
RISE TO HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 12 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THE STRENGTH OF THE THE WINDS AND DAMAGE DUE TO FLOSSIE ARE
DEPENDANT UPON THE EXACT PATH AND INTENSITY OF THE STORM
SYSTEM...WHICH IS STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. THE CURRENT
FORECAST BRINGS EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BIG ISLAND LATE TUESDAY.
IF THE TRACK OF FLOSSIE SHIFTS NORTHWARD...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
OF 74 MPH OR GREATER COULD AFFECT SOME AREAS OF THE SOUTHERN BIG
ISLAND LATE TUESDAY.

...FLOODING IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AND FLOODING POTENTIAL VARY GREATLY DEPENDING UPON THE
ACTUAL TRACK OF FLOSSIE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL BEGIN TO PASS OVER THE BIG ISLAND BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS OF WITH 10 INCHES OR GREATER IN THE
KAU DISTRICT...AND 5 TO 10 INCHES MAY BE EXPECTED ON SOUTH AND
EAST FACING SLOPES ELSEWHERE ON THE BIG ISLAND...TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE RAINS HEAVY RAINS MAY PRODUCE FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN THE KAU DISTRICT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 1130 AM OR SOONER IF
NECESSARY.

$$

HOUSTON


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Old August 14th, 2007, 01:35 AM
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Watches and warnings are now up for the big island of Hawa'ii.





000
FXHW60 PHFO 140202
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST MON AUG 13 2007

.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...AS POWERFUL
HURRICANE FLOSSIE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE WILL PASS SOUTH OF ALL THE ISLANDS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
THE CENTER OF FLOSSIE IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTH OF
THE BIG ISLAND/S SOUTH POINT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING WIND GUSTS
NEAR 60 MPH TO THE BIG ISLAND. YOU ARE URGED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE
CENTER POSITION OF THE HURRICANE...AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND ABOUT 140 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HURRICANE FLOSSIE CONTINUES ON A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND AS IT
APPROACHES THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST. FLOSSIE IS
TRACKING STEADILY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. HEAVY RAIN
APPEARS TO EXTEND ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER...BUT THIS
AREA OF RAIN HAS NOT YET APPEARED ON THE SOUTH POINT RADAR. FOR
DETAILS ON FLOSSIE...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST DISCUSSION FROM THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER /CPHC/...ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE BEING
ISSUED EVERY 3 HOURS AND CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP2 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA32 PHFO.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN...
BETWEEN THE HIGH FAR NORTH OF THE ISLANDS AND THE APPROACHING
HURRICANE...DESPITE IT/S RELATIVELY SMALL SIZE. IN THE GRADIENT FLOW
NORTH OF THE CYCLONE...STRONG EAST WINDS GUSTED NEAR 40 MPH IN THE
BIG ISLAND/S KAMUELA AND KAWAIHAE AREAS TODAY...WHERE TERRAIN
ENHANCED THE GRADIENT FLOW. THE ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL IS EXPECTED TO
RECEIVE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE GRADIENT FLOW NORTH OF
FLOSSIE...BUT LIES NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII.
THEREFORE...A GALE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL
FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

FLOSSIE/S INITIAL IMPACT ON THE BIG ISLAND WILL BE BUILDING SURF
ALONG SOUTH AND EAST FACING SHORES...AND THIS INCREASE SHOULD
ALREADY BE UNDER WAY. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL BEGIN IN
EARNEST TUESDAY MORNING ON THE BIG ISLAND...AND IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AS FLOSSIE MAKES IT CLOSEST POINT OF
APPROACH IN THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS CONTAIN
DETAILED INFORMATION FOR THE BIG ISLAND UNDER AWIPS HEADER HLSHFO
OR WMO HEADER WTHW80 PHFO.

WHILE THE CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH AND BIGGEST IMPACTS WILL BE FELT
ON THE BIG ISLAND...THE SMALLER ISLANDS WILL SEE SOME FRINGE
EFFECTS AS FLOSSIE PASSES SOUTH OF THE STATE. SURF ALONG EAST FACING
SHORES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 8 FEET BEGINNING TUESDAY. THIS SWELL IS
WILL BE A RESULT OF STRONG TRADES NORTH OF FLOSSIE...AND NOT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WINDS AROUND FLOSSIE. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL
BE ISSUED SHORTLY IN ANTICIPATION OF THIS RISING SURF. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO INCLUDE ALL HAWAIIAN WATERS AS WINDS
AND SEAS WILL BE RAMPING UP. SUSTAINED EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE EARLY WEDNESDAY FOR MAUI COUNTY...WEDNESDAY FOR
OAHU...AND LATE WEDNESDAY/EARLY THURSDAY FOR KAUAI. WIND GUSTS TO 35
TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS THESE STRONG EASTERLIES INTERACT WITH THE
TERRAIN OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

MORE TYPICAL TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY/FRIDAY AS A
BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP BETWEEN 30N/40N. MOISTURE WILL
DIMINISH BEHIND FLOSSIE...WITH SUBSIDENCE INVERSIONS REBUILDING
AGAIN BY THURSDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE HIGH AND
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE STATE...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FLIRT
WITH SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS THROUGH THE CHANNELS.

USERS OF PUBLIC AND MARINE PRODUCTS FROM HFO CAN EXPECT A STEADY
UPDATE CYCLE...BUT PRODUCTS WILL BE UPDATED AFTER RECEIPT OF CPHC
ADVISORIES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING/HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING/HURRICANE WATCH FOR BIG ISLAND WINDWARD
WATERS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM HST THURSDAY FOR ALL HAWAIIAN
WATERS.

GALE WARNING ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY.

&&

$$

BIRCHARD
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Old August 14th, 2007, 02:58 PM
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000
WTHW80 PHFO 141821
HLSHFO
HIZ023>028-142145-

HURRICANE FLOSSIE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
820 AM HST TUE AUG 14 2007

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE FLOSSIE CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII...

...NEW INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE SECTION AND
THE FLOODING IMPACTS SECTION FOR UPDATED INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS
ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 AM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS NEAR LATITUDE
17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 190 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. FLOSSIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST
NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. GIVEN THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FLOSSIE WILL PASS ABOUT 80
MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COUNTY OF HAWAII CIVIL DEFENSE REPORTED THAT PUNALUU BEACH
PARK...SOUTH POINT...VACATIONLAND...WHITTINGTON BEACH PARK AND THE
MAUNA KEA ACCESS ROAD FROM THE 9000 FT ELEVATION HAVE BEEN CLOSED.
ALL SCHOOLS...INCLUDING THE UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII-HILO AND BOTH HAWAII
COMMUNITY COLLEGE CAMPUSES...AND ALL PUBLIC PARKS ON THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII WILL BE CLOSED ON TUESDAY.

IF YOU ARE ON THE BIG ISLAND...PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION EARLY THIS MORNING. STAY
TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL RADIO STATION FOR INFORMATION ON EVACUATIONS
AND OTHER PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
RECENT MEASUREMENTS FROM A BUOY LOCATED 185 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HILO SHOW OPEN OCEAN WAVES OF UP TO 18 FT HAVE BEEN GENERATED BY
HURRICANE FLOSSIE. AS THESE WAVES APPROACH THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND...SURF OF 20 TO 25 FEET WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING AND DUE TO WAVE RUNUP. SUBSTANTIAL SHORELINE EROSION IS
ALSO LIKELY. ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS INCLUDE PUNALUU...
VACATIONLAND AND COASTAL PROPERTIES IN THE KAPOHO BEACH AREA.

SURF ALONG NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND WILL RISE TO 10
TO 15 FT TODAY...AND WILL RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING AND SHORELINE
EROSION. AVOID ENTERING THE WATER AND STAY AWAY FROM
COASTAL AREAS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 40 TO 50
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH TO THE SOUTHERN BIG ISLAND AFTER NOON
TODAY. WINDS OF THESE INTENSITIES WILL CAUSE DAMAGE TO LIGHT
STRUCTURES AND TREES.

HOWEVER...IF THE TRACK OF FLOSSIE SHIFTS NORTHWARD...HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER COULD AFFECT SOME AREAS OF THE SOUTHERN
BIG ISLAND...RESULTING IN MUCH GREATER DAMAGE POTENTIAL.

...FLOODING IMPACTS...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL BEGIN TO PASS OVER THE BIG ISLAND THIS
MORNING...WITH THE BULK OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10
INCHES OR GREATER IN THE KAU DISTRICT...AND 5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE
PUNA AND SOUTH HILO DISTRICTS THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN THE KAU DISTRICT. A
PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE SPOT WILL BE HIGHWAY 11 NEAR MILE POST 58.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN THIS AREA WILL RESULT IN CLOSURE OF THE
HIGHWAY FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 1145 AM HST OR SOONER IF
NECESSARY.

$$

KODAMA
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