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  #1 (permalink)  
Old September 25th, 2007, 01:38 AM
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Default Tropical Storm Karen - Atlantic




000
WTNT32 KNHC 250231
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 PM AST MON SEP 24 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.2 WEST OR ABOUT
1700 MILES...2735 KM...EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...10.1 N...36.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Old September 25th, 2007, 02:44 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 251432
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 25 2007

...KAREN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...NO IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1515
MILES...2440 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...10.8 N...38.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Old September 25th, 2007, 11:08 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 260244
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 25 2007

...KAREN HAS NOT STRENGTHENED....

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1355
MILES...2185 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...11.1 N...41.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old September 26th, 2007, 02:05 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 261453
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST WED SEP 26 2007

...KAREN NEAR HURRICANE INTENSITY OVER THE EASTERN NORTH ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1225
MILES...1970 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
KAREN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...11.9 N...42.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH
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  #5 (permalink)  
Old September 27th, 2007, 01:36 AM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 270249
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 PM AST WED SEP 26 2007

...KAREN JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1070
MILES...1720 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...SFMR...
INSTRUMENT ON BOARD THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE SHOW THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

NOAA BUOY 41041 AND THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER SHOW
THAT KAREN IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...13.0 N...45.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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  #6 (permalink)  
Old September 27th, 2007, 02:29 PM
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Default

000
WTNT32 KNHC 271434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST THU SEP 27 2007

...KAREN DISORGANIZED BUT MAINTAINING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 920
MILES...1485 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...SFMR...
INSTRUMENT ON BOARD A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KAREN IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS...AND SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM THE NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N...47.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
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  #7 (permalink)  
Old September 28th, 2007, 01:11 AM
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Default

000
WTNT32 KNHC 280245
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 PM AST THU SEP 27 2007

...KAREN STRUGGLING OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST OR ABOUT 780
MILES...1255 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO
UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...49.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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  #8 (permalink)  
Old September 28th, 2007, 02:23 PM
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Default

000
WTNT32 KNHC 281443
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 28 2007

...KAREN CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST OR ABOUT 805
MILES...1295 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...15.1 N...49.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
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Old September 29th, 2007, 01:16 AM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 290231
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007

...CENTER OF KAREN RE-LOCATED...STORM EXPECTED TO WEAKEN...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
RE-LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST OR ABOUT
660 MILES...1060 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KAREN COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...16.2 N...51.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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  #10 (permalink)  
Old September 29th, 2007, 02:22 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 291439
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007

...KAREN NOT LIKELY TO SURVIVE THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST OR ABOUT
530 MILES...850 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KAREN HAS WEAKENED AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. KAREN COULD DEGENERATE INTO
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...16.8 N...53.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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  #11 (permalink)  
Old September 30th, 2007, 02:44 AM
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Default Bye Bye Karen.....for now........

000
WTNT32 KNHC 292030
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2007

..KAREN DEGENERATES INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A FEW
SQUALLS...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION
KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 495 MILES...795 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION LATER TONIGHT.

THE DEPRESSION IS RAPIDLY BECOMING A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BUT
STILL HAS WINDS NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN A FEW
SQUALLS WELL REMOVED AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BUT KAREN WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS
OF REDEVELOPMENT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...17.3 N...54.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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