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-   -   Eastern Pacific - Tropical Storm Julio (http://www.cruisemates.com/forum/hurricane-watch/355211-eastern-pacific-tropical-storm-julio.html)

Lisa August 23rd, 2008 02:05 PM

Eastern Pacific - Tropical Storm Julio
 
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...143813W_sm.gif

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 231438
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
800 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO...INTERESTS IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST OR ABOUT 345 MILES...555 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...18.4 N...107.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

ferrangi August 23rd, 2008 10:06 PM

Thank you, I'll be watching this one close.... I think it will not effect our ports by the time we get there...
My concern is whether or not our ship will have to sail through it to get there.
Mexican Riviera.... Aug 31st - Sept 7th... :shock:

Lisa August 24th, 2008 01:04 AM

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 240255
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
800 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA...

AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA
FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AROUND THE PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO
SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO BAHIA MAGDALENA AND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST OR ABOUT 185
MILES...300 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA LATE
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...20.5 N...108.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME

Lisa August 24th, 2008 01:05 AM

ferrangi - this one will be gone by the time you leave next weekend.

ferrangi August 24th, 2008 01:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lisa
ferrangi - this one will be gone by the time you leave next weekend.

Thank you! 8)

Lisa August 24th, 2008 02:10 PM

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 241747
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...JULIO NEARING THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST AROUND THE PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD TO MULEGE ON THE
EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL POCITO...AND ALONG
THE EAST COAST NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...THEN APPROACH THE CENTRAL BAJA
PENINSULA ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE JULIO REACHES
THE BAJA PENINSULA LATER TODAY AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA...
WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...22.6 N...110.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

Lisa August 25th, 2008 01:03 AM

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 250233
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
800 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...JULIO BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST AROUND
THE PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL POCITO...
AND ALONG THE EAST COAST NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN
BAUTISTA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE INLAND OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 85 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO.

JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH
A TURN TO THE NORTH EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES
THE CENTER OF JULIO UP THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JULIO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...24.4 N...111.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Lisa August 25th, 2008 01:42 PM

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 251445
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
800 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2008

...JULIO REMAINS OVER BAJA PENINSULA...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
EXTENDED NORTHWARD...

AT 8 AM...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF LORETO.
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LORETO TO BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES ON THE EAST COAST.

AT 8 AM...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO
PUERTO LIBERTAD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL POCITO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES... 55 KM...SOUTH OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO.

JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE
EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...AND
BE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND
JULIO COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY EARLY TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. MOISTURE FROM JULIO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE
SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...POSSIBLY
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...26.8 N...112.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

Lisa August 26th, 2008 01:08 AM

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 260255
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
800 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2008

...JULIO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...ALL WARNINGS FOR MEXICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED...

AT 8 PM...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES... 85 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...
14 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION...ALONG WITH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE
EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT...AND
BE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND
JULIO COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY
WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

JULIO COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. MOISTURE FROM JULIO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...POSSIBLY PRODUCING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...28.0 N...112.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/RHOME


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