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  #1 (permalink)  
Old October 14th, 2008, 01:56 PM
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Default Caribbean - Tropical Depression 16



000
WTNT31 KNHC 141743
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST
OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF
HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER BETWEEN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA WESTWARD
TO LIMON.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT
40 MILES... 65 KM...NORTH OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND A GENERAL
WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST
OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS...HOWEVER...THE CENTER
COULD MAKE LANDFALL IN HONDURAS IF THERE IS ANY DEVIATION TO THE
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...15.6 N...83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Old October 15th, 2008, 01:00 AM
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Default

000
WTNT31 KNHC 150257
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
1100 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE BORDER WITH NICARAGUA WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITION ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS WEST OF THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A
TROPICAL WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE
CITY TO THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT
90 MILES...150 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANY DEVIATION TO
THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER INLAND OVER
HONDURAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N...83.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/SCHAUER CLARK
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old October 15th, 2008, 02:03 PM
Lisa's Avatar
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Admiral
 
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Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
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Default

WTNT31 KNHC 151800
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
200 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...BROAD CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND OVER NORTHEAST
HONDURAS...

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER AS WELL AS THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN HONDURAS NEAR LATITUDE
15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10
KM/HR...AND A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT THE
SAME SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY
NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...15.6 N...84.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
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Lisa
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old October 16th, 2008, 01:09 AM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,485
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Default

000
WTNT31 KNHC 160238
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
1100 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...DEPRESSION BECOMES ILL-DEFINED INLAND OVER HONDURAS...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LIMON
HONDURAS AND ABOUT 185 MILES...300 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY
RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND
A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-SOUTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...15.3 N...85.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME
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