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  #1 (permalink)  
Old November 6th, 2008, 12:59 AM
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Default Caribbean - Hurricane Paloma



000
WTNT32 KNHC 060540
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
100 AM EST THU NOV 06 2008

...HURRICANE HUNTER FINDS THE DEPRESSION IS NOT YET A TROPICAL
STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST OR ABOUT
85 MILES...135 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR
5 MPH...8 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM TODAY...AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
FRIDAY.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
EASTERN HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 100 AM EST POSITION...14.6 N...82.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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Old November 6th, 2008, 02:12 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 061739
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
100 PM EST THU NOV 06 2008

...INTENSIFYING PALOMA TURNS TOWARD THE NORTH...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. THIS WATCH COULD BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PALOMA WAS
LOCATED BY AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE NEAR LATITUDE 15.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...NORTHEAST
OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND ABOUT
235 MILES...380 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND CAYMAN.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST FORECAST LATE ON FRIDAY OR ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND PALOMA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE
TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.

STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...90 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EASTERN HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 100 PM EST POSITION...15.9 N...81.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old November 7th, 2008, 12:54 AM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 070543
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
100 AM EST FRI NOV 07 2008

...PALOMA MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...
200 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 265 MILES...
425 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MOST OF THE DAY
ON FRIDAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST FORECAST TO
OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. PALOMA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AND PALOMA IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...AND POSSIBLY REACH
CATEGORY 3 INTENSITY BY SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
70 MILES...110 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 100 AM EST POSITION...17.5 N...81.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old November 7th, 2008, 02:05 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 071754
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
100 PM EST FRI NOV 07 2008

...PALOMA INTENSIFIES A LITTLE MORE...HEADING TOWARD GRAND CAYMAN...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND
GRANMA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA...JAMAICA AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...
100 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 220 MILES...355 KM...WEST
OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PALOMA WILL PASS NEAR THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY AND BE APPROACHING THE
COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA LATE SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AND
PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE LATER
TODAY...AND POSSIBLY REACH CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT OR
ON SATURDAY.

DATA FROM THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE IS 974 MB...28.91 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED
NEAR THE CENTER OF PALOMA IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD AND
MUDSLIDES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 100 PM EST POSITION...18.4 N...81.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
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Lisa
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  #5 (permalink)  
Old November 8th, 2008, 12:55 AM
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Admiral
 
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Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
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Default

WTNT32 KNHC 080541
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
100 AM EST SAT NOV 08 2008

...CENTER OF DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE PALOMA APPROACHING LITTLE
CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS... CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY AND LAS TUNAS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE PALOMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 40 MILES...
65 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LITTLE CAYMAN. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT
230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OVER OR NEAR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...AND BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA LATE TONIGHT
OR EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...
195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING...BEFORE GRADUAL WEAKENING BEGINS BY THIS EVENING. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO
PALOMA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED
NEAR THE CENTER OF PALOMA IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE
THE CENTER OF PALOMA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY
CAUSE FLASH FLOODS. MUDSLIDES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN
HIGHER TERRAIN...ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA.

REPEATING THE 100 AM EST POSITION...19.3 N...80.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BRENNAN
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  #6 (permalink)  
Old November 8th, 2008, 12:13 PM
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Admiral
 
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Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
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Default

000
WTNT32 KNHC 081455
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 AM EST SAT NOV 08 2008

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS PALOMA TURNS TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND
TAKES AIM AT CUBA...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND HOLGUIN AND
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SANCTI SPIRITUS. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...
210 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 140 MILES...220 KM
...SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AFTER LANDFALL. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM CAYMAN BRAC THIS
MORNING...AND BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL CUBA LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. PALOMA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UP UNTIL LANDFALL IN CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.

LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 17 TO 23 FEET...ACCOMPANIED
BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO
THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF PALOMA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER LITTLE CAYMAN...CAYMAN BRAC...AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA
AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
GRAND CAYMAN.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM EST POSITION...19.9 N...79.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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  #7 (permalink)  
Old November 9th, 2008, 01:44 AM
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Admiral
 
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Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
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Default

000
WTNT32 KNHC 090545
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
100 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2008

...PALOMA WEAKENS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN
SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS ESTIMATED
BY RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR
ABOUT 25 MILES...45 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A SLOW
MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF PALOMA WILL BE NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST OF
EAST-CENTRAL CUBA LATE THIS MORNING...AND BE NEARING THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS BY LATE TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO...EVEN AFTER PALOMA MOVES OFF THE COAST OF CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

DANGEROUS STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 13 TO 18 FEET...ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO
THE EAST OF SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR ALONG THE SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN COAST
OF CUBA.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. FIVE TO TEN INCHES OF RAIN
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 100 AM EST POSITION...21.1 N...77.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BERG
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Old November 9th, 2008, 03:10 PM
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 091431
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2008

...PALOMA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER CUBA...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PALOMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR NEAR
CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4
KM/HR...AND A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF PALOMA SHOULD BE NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA LATER TODAY
AND BE APPROACHING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY...AND PALOMA IS
FORECAST TO DEGENERATE TO A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BY MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM EST POSITION...21.2 N...77.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Old November 10th, 2008, 01:59 AM
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Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
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Default Bye Bye Paloma

000
WTNT32 KNHC 100237
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 PM EST SUN NOV 09 2008

...PALOMA DISSIPATING INLAND OVER EAST-CENTRAL CUBA...
...FINAL ADVISORY BEING ISSUED...

AT 1000 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 70 KM...NORTH OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 180
MILES...285 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE REMNANTS OF PALOMA SHOULD EMERGE OFF
THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

THE REMNANTS OF PALOMA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA AND THE
BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM EST POSITION...22.0 N...78.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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