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  #1 (permalink)  
Old October 12th, 2009, 02:24 PM
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Default Tropical Storm Patricia - Eastern Pacific




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 121751
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192009
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 12 2009

...PATRICIA SLIGHTLY STRONGER...MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ TO SANTA FE. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 245 MILES...395 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
A NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
PATRICIA WILL BE VERY NEAR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...19.3N 110.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN
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Old October 13th, 2009, 02:00 AM
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Default

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 130547
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192009
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 12 2009

...PATRICIA CONTINUES SLOWLY NORTHWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ TO SANTA FE. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR
ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PATRICIA SHOULD MAKE
ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATE
TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...20.3N 109.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 010 DEGREES AT 6 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS
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Old October 13th, 2009, 02:18 PM
Lisa's Avatar
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Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
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Default

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 131737
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192009
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009

...PATRICIA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENAVISTA TO AGUA BLANCA...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ
AND ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST OR
ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST BY THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF PATRICIA SHOULD MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH PATRICIA HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.


...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...21.8N 108.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB


THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old October 14th, 2009, 12:59 AM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,501
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Default

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 140232
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192009
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009

...PATRICIA LIKELY TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION SOON...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENAVISTA TO AGUA BLANCA...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ
AND ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES...80 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PATRICIA WILL PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND PATRICIA WILL PROBABLY BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY AND DEGENERATE
INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

PATRICIA COULD STILL PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...22.6N 109.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BLAKE
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