Go Back   CruiseMates Cruise Community and Forums > Practical Advice > Hurricane Watch
Register Forgot Password?

Hurricane Watch Keep up to date on the latest Weather conditions

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1 (permalink)  
Old October 16th, 2009, 01:37 AM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default Hurricane Rick - Eastern Pacific




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009

...RICK INTENSIFYING QUICKLY...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST OR ABOUT 345
MILES...555 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND RICK COULD BECOME A HURRICANE
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...12.4N 97.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links
  #2 (permalink)  
Old October 16th, 2009, 02:15 PM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 161437
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...RICK BECOMES THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC
SEASON...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...
470 KM...SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SUBSTANTIAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND RICK MAY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH RICK MAY IMPACT THE SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO COAST TODAY.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...12.7N 99.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)  
Old October 17th, 2009, 02:01 PM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 171436
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 AM PDT SAT OCT 17 2009

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE RICK CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES
...450 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ABOUT 345 MILES...
550 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE
HURRICANE MOVES GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES RICK AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND RICK COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 938 MB...27.70 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.2N 103.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)  
Old October 18th, 2009, 01:22 AM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 180235
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 2009

...WITH 180 MPH WINDS...RICK BECOMES THE SECOND STRONGEST EASTERN
NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE ON RECORD AFTER LINDA OF 1997...

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SEVERE HURRICANE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES
...475 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 605 MILES
...975 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH SHOULD BEGIN ON MONDAY.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT RICK HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN...
AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED NEAR 180
MPH...285 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY ON SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155
MILES...250 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 906 MB...26.75 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.0N 105.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...906 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)  
Old October 18th, 2009, 02:35 PM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 181441
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 2009

...RICK STILL A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE...

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES
...805 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EARLY
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 175 MPH...280 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RICK IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...HOWEVER...RICK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 914 MB...26.99 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
CAUSING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.8N 108.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...914 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)  
Old October 19th, 2009, 01:01 AM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190237
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 2009

...RICK WEAKENS...BUT STILL A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA EARLY MONDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES
...660 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THEN NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. RICK IS THEN FORECAST
TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...230
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RICK IS STILL EXPECTED
TO BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 936 MB...27.64 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.0N 110.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)  
Old October 19th, 2009, 02:37 PM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 191754
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 19 2009

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS RICK WEAKER...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS HURRICANE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 18.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...550 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 55 MILES...
90 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RICK IS THEN FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST BY LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEARING
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO
NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS A CATEGORY
TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RICK COULD
STILL BE A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA.
THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE RICK FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.2N 111.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)  
Old October 19th, 2009, 02:38 PM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 191754
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 19 2009

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS RICK WEAKER...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS HURRICANE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 18.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...550 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 55 MILES...
90 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RICK IS THEN FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST BY LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEARING
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO
NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS A CATEGORY
TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RICK COULD
STILL BE A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA.
THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE RICK FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.2N 111.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #9 (permalink)  
Old October 20th, 2009, 01:08 AM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 200249
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 PM PDT MON OCT 19 2009

...RICK WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...WATCHES ADJUSTED FOR SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA...

AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LA
PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT
OR EARLY TUESDAY.

AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF AGUA
BLANCA ON THE WEST COAST AND NORTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ON TUESDAY FOR THE
COAST OF WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST OR ABOUT 290
MILES...465 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT
55 MILES... 90 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TO
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...
AND APPROACH THE WESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES...250 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 41 MPH...66 KM/HR...WITH A
GUST TO 56 MPH...91 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT SOCORRO
ISLAND.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH RICK IS ALREADY SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AS
WELL AS THE STATES OF SINALOA AND DURANGO IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...19.1N 111.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)  
Old October 20th, 2009, 10:48 PM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 210236
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2009

...RAINS FROM RICK ALREADY AFFECTING MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MEXICAN MAINLAND
FROM SAN BLAS TO ALTATA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST
COAST...AND FOR THE EAST COAST FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICK.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT
145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND
ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH LANDFALL. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...RICK IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IMPACT MAINLAND MEXICO ON
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED UNTIL LANDFALL...
AND A RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE STATES
OF SINALOA AND DURANGO IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...CAUSING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS
SURF CONDITIONS.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...20.9N 109.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
  #11 (permalink)  
Old October 21st, 2009, 02:34 PM
Lisa's Avatar
Senior Member
Admiral
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Wisconsin....about 100 miles south of the Frozen Tundra and 70 miles east of Camp Randall
Posts: 9,488
Send a message via AIM to Lisa Send a message via Yahoo to Lisa
Default

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 211742
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 21 2009

...RICK WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MEXICO...

AT 11 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MEXICO HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.6 WEST OR
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...NORTHEAST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17
MPH...27 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL DISSIPATION.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER THE
STATES OF SINALOA AND DURANGO IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...23.9N 105.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA
__________________
Carnival Breeze with Ray B and Aerogirl 5/4/14!
Lisa
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Tags
2008, 972mb, categories, center, hurricane, inches, map, meteorology, national, powered, prediction, service, tropical, vbulletin, weather

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Eastern Pacific - Hurricane Genevieve Lisa Hurricane Watch 15 July 27th, 2008 02:20 PM
Eastern Pacific - Hurricane Fausto Lisa Hurricane Watch 15 July 23rd, 2008 01:24 AM
Eastern Pacific - Hurricane Boris Lisa Hurricane Watch 14 July 4th, 2008 03:08 PM
Eastern Pacific - Hurricane Henirette Lisa Hurricane Watch 11 September 6th, 2007 01:23 AM
Hurricane John - Eastern Pacific Lisa Hurricane Watch 9 September 3rd, 2006 01:21 AM


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


 

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:40 PM.
design by: Themes by Design

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Search Engine Friendly URLs by vBSEO 3.6.1