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Old July 22nd, 2010, 10:47 PM
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Default Atlantic - Bonnie




Center of Tropical Storm Bonnie moving northwestward near the
central Bahamas...



summary of 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...23.1n 75.9wabout 165 mi...265 km se of Nassauabout 385 mi...615 km ESE of Key West Floridamaximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/hrpresent movement...NW or 310 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hrminimum central pressure...1007 mb...29.74 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none
summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* central and northwestern Bahamas* for the Florida East Coast from Golden Beach southward includingthe entire Florida Keys and Florida Bay...and along the West Coastof Florida northward to Bonita Beach
a tropical storm watch in in effect for...* the East Coast of Florida north of Golden Beach to Jupiter Inletincluding Lake Okeechobee
a Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions arepossible within the watch area...generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the UnitedStates...including possible inland watches and warnings...pleasemonitor products issued by your local National Weather Serviceforecast office. For storm information specific to your area outsideUnited States...please monitor products issued by your Nationalmeteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bonniewas located near latitude 23.1 north...longitude 75.9 west. Thestorm is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph...22 km/hr. Aturn toward the west-northwest with an increase in forward speed isexpected tonight and Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with highergusts. Slow strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours.
Tropical-storm force winds extend out up to 45 miles...70 km...mainly to the northeast of the center.
The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force reconnaissanceplane was 1007 mb...29.74 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------wind...tropical storm conditions will spread over the central andnorthwestern Bahamas tonight and Friday. Weather conditions willbegin to deteriorate on the Florida coast and Florida Keys withinthe warning area Friday morning.
Rainfall...Bonnie is expected to produce total rain accumulations of2 to 4 inches over South Florida...with possible isolated maximumamounts of 5 to 6 inches. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches areexpected over the central and northwest Bahamas...with possibleisolated amounts of 5 to 7 inches.
Storm surge...storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to2 feet above ground level over portions of the Bahamas and theFlorida Keys.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...1100 PM EDT.
$$Forecaster Beven
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Old July 24th, 2010, 02:39 AM
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Default

...Disorganized Bonnie moving through the eastern Gulf of Mexico...


summary of 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...26.4n 83.4w
about 395 mi...635 km ESE of the mouth of the Mississippi River
about 85 mi...135 km SW of Sarasota Florida
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
present movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 17 mph...28 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1010 mb...29.83 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

none.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Destin Florida to Morgan City Louisiana...including Lake
Pontchartrain

for storm information specific to your area in the United
States...including possible inland watches and warnings...please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression Bonnie
was located near latitude 26.4 north...longitude 83.4 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph...
28 km/hr. This general track with a decrease in forward speed is
expected to continue during the next two days. On the forecast
track...Bonnie is expected to cross the eastern Gulf of Mexico
tonight and Saturday and reach the northern Gulf Coast Saturday
night or early Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Slight strengthening is forecast on Saturday...and Bonnie
could regain tropical storm strength before reaching the northern
Gulf Coast.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft is 1010 mb...29.83 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm force winds mainly in squalls will likely
begin along portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning
area on Saturday.

Rainfall...Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over portions of southeastern
Louisiana...southern Alabama...southern Mississippi...and the far
western Florida Panhandle...with possible isolated maximum amounts
of 5 inches.

Storm surge...storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to
4 feet above ground level along the immediate coast near and to the
right of where the center makes landfall on the northern Gulf
Coast.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...200 am EDT.
Next complete advisory...500 am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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