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Old August 7th, 2010, 02:01 AM
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Default Eastern Pacific - Estelle



Statement as of 8:00 PM PDT on August 06, 2010

...Estelle strengthens...continues west-northwestward...

summary of 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...17.2n 106.2wabout 175 mi...285 km SW of Manzanillo Mexicomaximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 285 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hrminimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Estelle waslocated near latitude 17.2 north...longitude 106.2 west. Estelle ismoving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr...and thisgeneral motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected overthe next couple of days. On this track...Estelle will continue tomove well away from the coast of southwest Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph...85 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecastduring the next day or so.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 kmfrom the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...200 am PDT.
$$Forecaster Brown
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Old August 8th, 2010, 02:50 AM
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Statement as of 8:00 PM PDT on August 07, 2010

...Estelle a little stronger...

summary of 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...17.3n 109.4wabout 355 mi...570 km WSW of Manzanillo Mexicoabout 390 mi...625 km S of the southern tip of Baja Californiamaximum sustained winds...65 mph...100 km/hrpresent movement...W or 280 degrees at 8 mph...13 km/hrminimum central pressure...994 mb...29.35 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Estelle waslocated near latitude 17.3 north...longitude 109.4 west. Estelle ismoving toward the west near 8 mph...13 km/hr...and this generalmotion...with a continued gradual decrease in forward speed...isexpected during the next 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph...100 km/hr...with highergusts. Some strengthening is possible tonight and Sunday...with agradual weakening forecast thereafter.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 kmfrom the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb...29.35 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...200 am PDT.
$$Forecaster Roberts/Beven
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Old August 9th, 2010, 02:47 AM
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Statement as of 8:00 PM PDT on August 08, 2010

...Estelle maintaining 45 mph winds...for now...

summary of 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...17.8n 111.7wabout 370 mi...595 km SSW of the southern tip of Baja Californiamaximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/hrpresent movement...W or 270 degrees at 5 mph...7 km/hrminimum central pressure...1001 mb...29.56 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Estelle waslocated near latitude 17.8 north...longitude 111.7 west. Estelle ismoving toward the west near 5 mph...7 km/hr...and this motion isexpected to continue for the next day or so with a turn towardthe west-southwest on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph...75 km/hr...with highergusts. Weakening is forecast...and Estelle is expected to become atropical depression on Monday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 kmfrom the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb...29.56 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...200 am PDT.
$$Forecaster Kimberlain/Pasch
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