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Old September 6th, 2010, 10:01 PM
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Default Caribbean - Hermine

Statement as of 8:40 PM CDT on September 06, 2010

...Hermine makes landfall in extreme northeastern Mexico...
Data from the NOAA Doppler radar in Brownsville Texas indicate thatTropical Storm Hermine made landfall around 830 PM CDT...0130 UTC...Along the coast of northeastern Mexico about 40 miles...65 km...South of Brownsville Texas. Maximum sustained winds at landfallwere estimated to be 65 mph...100 km/hr.

Summary of 830 PM CDT...0130 UTC...information--------------------------------------------------location...25.3n 97.4wabout 40 mi...65 km S of Brownsville Texasabout 105 mi...170 km NNE of La Pesca Mexicomaximum sustained winds...65 mph...100 km/hrpresent movement...NNW or 330 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hrminimum central pressure...991 mb...29.26 inches
$$forecaster Brennan/Blake

Tropical Storm Hermine intermediate advisory number 4a700 PM CDT Mon Sep 06 2010
...Hermine strengthening as it nears the coast...

summary of 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...24.8n 97.1wabout 80 mi...130 km NNE of La Pesca Mexicoabout 80 mi...130 km SSE of Brownsville Texasmaximum sustained winds...65 mph...100 km/hrpresent movement...NW or 325 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hrminimum central pressure...991 mb...29.26 inches

Watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* Rio San Fernando Mexico northward to Baffin Bay Texas
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* La Cruz Mexico northward to Port Oconnor Texas
for storm information specific to your area in the United States...Including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitorproducts issued by your local National Weather Service forecastoffice. For storm information specific to your area outside theUnited States...please monitor products issued by your Nationalmeteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Hermine waslocated near latitude 24.8 north...longitude 97.1 west. Hermine ismoving toward the northwest near 14 mph...22 km/hr...and thisgeneral motion is expected to continue for the next day or two. Onthe forecast track the center will make landfall on the coast ofnortheastern Mexico in the warning area tonight...and move inlandover southern Texas on Tuesday and into central Texas on Wednesday.
Data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicatethat maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph...100km/hr...with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening ispossible...and Hermine could approach hurricane strength prior tolandfall.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 kmfrom the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reservehurricane hunter is 991 mb...29.26 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------wind...tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning areaand are expected to continue overnight.
Storm surge...storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to4 feet above ground level along the immediate coast near and to thenorth of where the center makes landfall.
Rainfall...Hermine is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of4 to 8 inches over northeastern Mexico and south Texas with isolatedmaximum amounts of 12 inches possible. These rains could causelife-threatening flash flood and mudslides.
Tornadoes...isolated tornadoes are possible along the lower andmiddle Texas coast this evening...and continuing overnight.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...1000 PM CDT.
$$Forecaster Blake/Brennan
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