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Old September 10th, 2010, 01:07 AM
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Default Atlantic - Igor




Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 09, 2010

...Igor over the open waters of the eastern tropical Atlantic...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...15.4n 28.0wabout 245 mi...390 km W of the southernmost Cape Verde Islandsmaximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hrminimum central pressure...1004 mb...29.65 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
there are no coastal watches and warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression Igorwas located near latitude 15.4 north...longitude 28.0 west. Thedepression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...20km/hr. A turn toward the west with an increase in forward speed isexpected during the next day or two.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast during thenext couple of days...and Igor could regain tropical storm strengthby Saturday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------
none.
Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Kimberlain/musher
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Old September 10th, 2010, 07:33 AM
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Thanks Lisa - one to watch out for - definitely!
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Old September 12th, 2010, 03:27 AM
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Only a minumum Cat 1 and already Igor is looking well organized. You are right Paul,this is one to watch closely.
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Old September 12th, 2010, 03:28 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 11, 2010

...Igor strengthens into a hurricane...the fourth of the season...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...17.7n 42.5wabout 1230 mi...1975 km W of the Cape Verde Islandsabout 1275 mi...2050 km E of the Leeward Islandsmaximum sustained winds...75 mph...120 km/hrpresent movement...W or 275 degrees at 17 mph...28 km/hrminimum central pressure...992 mb...29.29 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 17.7 north...longitude 42.5 west. Igor is movingtoward the west near 17 mph...28 km/hr...and this general motionwith some decrease in forward speed is expected for the next coupleof days.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120km/hr...with higher gusts. Igor is a category one hurricane on theSaffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast...andIgor could reach major hurricane strength by late Monday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles...30 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115miles...185 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb...29.29 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Kimberlain
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Old September 12th, 2010, 11:31 AM
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It look like it is going to follow Earl, turining north towrds the mid-atlantic.

Thankfully no hurricanes have gone in the Gulf of mexico this year, or even hit major cities with full force.
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Old September 13th, 2010, 02:27 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 12, 2010

...Igor still intensifying...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...17.6n 47.8wabout 1005 mi...1620 km E of the northern Leeward Islandsmaximum sustained winds...150 mph...240 km/hrpresent movement...W or 270 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hrminimum central pressure...935 mb...27.61 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the eye of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 17.6 north...longitude 47.8 west. Igor is movingtoward the west near 13 mph...20 km/hr. A turn toward thewest-northwest with some decrease in forward speed is expected tobegin late Monday and Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 150 mph...240km/hr...with higher gusts. Igor is a category four hurricane onthe Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Some fluctuation inintensity is likely during the next 48 hours...and Igor couldbecome a category five hurricane on Monday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 40 miles...65 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160miles...260 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 935 mb...27.61 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Berg
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Old September 13th, 2010, 02:28 AM
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Actually, just my gut feeling......I think Bermuda needs to keep a close eye on this one.
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Old September 13th, 2010, 08:02 PM
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This one is getting nasty - close to a cat 5.

From Accuweather...
AccuWeather.com - Weather News | Igor Could Be Season's First Category 5 Hurricane

Very warm waters and a lack of wind shear could allow Igor to pulse from a Category 4 hurricane to a Category 5 hurricane with sustained winds of 156 mph or higher on occasion this week.

AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center sees Igor to begin a curve to the northwest over the next 24 to 48 hours, steering the system to the northeast of the Antilles.

... surf will affect the water around the Leeward Islands over the next several days. Of great concern is how close the system will track to Bermuda over the weekend. The large size of the storm could cause considerable problems for the islands, even if a direct hit does not occur.



... there is still a chance Igor could slide more westward, missing one or more northward turn-offs, possibly bringing it too close to the Atlantic Seaboard of the U.S. for comfort and more serious problems.
For now, people in Bermuda and Newfoundland, Canada, area highest on the risk for direct impact from Hurricane Igor.
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Old September 14th, 2010, 03:03 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 13, 2010

...Igor weakens a little but still an intense category 4hurricane...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...17.7n 51.2wabout 785 mi...1260 km E of the northern Leeward Islandsmaximum sustained winds...140 mph...220 km/hrpresent movement...W or 275 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hrminimum central pressure...937 mb...27.67 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the eye of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 17.7 north...longitude 51.2 west. Igor is movingtoward the west near 9 mph...15 km/hr. This general speed with aturn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday...followed bya turn toward the northwest early Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 140 mph...220km/hr...with higher gusts. Igor is still a category four hurricaneon the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Some fluctuations inintensity are possible during the next couple of days...but Igor isexpected to remain a powerful hurricane through Wednesday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 195miles...315 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 937 mb...27.67 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------surf...swells generated by Igor will begin affecting the LeewardIslands on Tuesday...and will reach Puerto Rico and the VirginIslands Tuesday night and Wednesday. These swells are likely tocause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Pleaseconsult products from your local weather office for additionalinformation.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Berg
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Old September 15th, 2010, 03:11 AM
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Default One more mph on the winds and it will be a Cat 5

Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 14, 2010

...Igor continues to strengthen...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...19.0n 53.9wabout 605 mi...975 km E of the northern Leeward Islandsabout 1140 mi...1835 km se of Bermudamaximum sustained winds...155 mph...250 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hrminimum central pressure...925 mb...27.32 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 19.0 north...longitude 53.9 west. Igor is movingtoward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr. A turn toward thenorthwest with little change in speed is expected during the next48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph...250km/hr...with higher gusts. Igor is a category four hurricane onthe Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Little change in strengthis anticipated during the next 24 hours...but some weakening couldoccur on Thursday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 225miles...360 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb...27.32 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------surf...large swells generated by Igor are affecting the LeewardIslands...and will reach Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islandsovernight and on Wednesday. The swells are expected to reach portions of the Bahamas Wednesday night and Thursday. These swellsare likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip currentconditions. Please consult products from your local weather officefor additional information.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Berg
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Old September 16th, 2010, 02:48 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 15, 2010

...Igor still at category 4 strength...poses a significant risk ofrip currents along the U.S. East Coast over the weekend...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...20.2n 56.5wabout 450 mi...730 km ENE of the northern Leeward Islandsabout 980 mi...1580 km se of Bermudamaximum sustained winds...135 mph...215 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hrminimum central pressure...942 mb...27.82 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Igor.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the eye of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 20.2 north...longitude 56.5 west. Igor is movingtoward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr...and this generalmotion is expected to continue through early Friday...followed by aturn toward the northwest and some increase in forward speed lateron Friday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 135 mph...215 km/hr...withhigher gusts. Igor is a category four hurricane on theSaffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Fluctuations in intensity arepossible during the next couple of days...but Igor is expected toremain a large and dangerous hurricane.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 240miles...390 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 942 mb...27.82 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------surf...large swells generated by Igor will continue to affect theLeeward Islands...Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands overnight andon Thursday. The swells are expected to reach portions of theBahamas overnight and Thursday and continue through the weekend. Swells will also reach the East Coast of the United States Thursdayand Friday and continue over the weekend. These swells are likelyto cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Pleaseconsult products from your local weather office for additionalinformation.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Berg
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Old September 17th, 2010, 02:29 AM
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Statement as of 2:00 am AST on September 17, 2010

...Igor continues moving northwest...

summary of 200 am AST...0600 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...22.2n 59.2wabout 375 mi...600 km NE of the northern Leeward Islandsabout 780 mi...1255 km SSE of Bermudamaximum sustained winds...125 mph...205 km/hrpresent movement...NW or 305 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hrminimum central pressure...935 mb...27.61 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none
summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* Bermuda
a Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possiblewithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hoursbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-forcewinds...conditions that make outside preparations difficult ordangerous.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitorproducts issued by your National meteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 200 am AST...0600 UTC...the eye of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 22.2 north...longitude 59.2 west. Igor is movingtoward the northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr. This general motionwith an increase in forward speed is expected over the next coupleof days. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane willbe approaching Bermuda on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph...205 km/hr...with highergusts. Igor is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpsonhurricane wind scale. Some fluctuations in strength are possibleduring the next couple of days...but Igor is expected to remain apowerful Hurricane.
Igor is a very large tropical cyclone. Hurricane force winds extendoutward up to 105 miles...165 km...from the center...and tropicalstorm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles...465 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 935 mb...27.61 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------wind...tropical storm conditions are possible in Bermuda by lateSaturday...with hurricane conditions possible on Sunday.
Surf...large swells will continue to affect the Leeward Islands...Puerto Rico...the Virgin Islands...Hispaniola...and portions of theBahamas during the next couple of days. These swells will alsocause dangerous surf conditions in Bermuda during the next severaldays...which will worsen as Igor approaches. Swells will continueto affect the East Coast of the United States through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and ripcurrent conditions. Please consult products from your localweather office for additional information.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Blake/Brennan
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Old September 18th, 2010, 02:55 AM
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Statement as of 2:00 am AST on September 18, 2010

...Large Hurricane Igor continues northwestward...

summary of 200 am AST...0600 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...24.9n 62.4wabout 530 mi...855 km SSE of Bermudamaximum sustained winds...110 mph...175 km/hrpresent movement...NW or 315 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hrminimum central pressure...942 mb...27.82 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for...* Bermuda
a Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expectedsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds...conditions that make outside preparations difficultor dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should berushed to completion.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitorproducts issued by your National meteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 200 am AST...0600 UTC...the center of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 24.9 north...longitude 62.4 west. Igor is movingtoward the northwest near 13 mph...20 km/hr. This general motionis expected to continue through Saturday afternoon...followed by aturn toward the north-northwest late Saturday...and a turn towardthe north on Sunday. On the forecast track...the center of largeHurricane Igor will be approaching Bermuda by late Sunday. However...Adverse weather conditions could begin to affect Bermuda Saturdayevening or Saturday night.
Data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicatethat maximum sustained winds remain near 110 mph...175 km/hr...withhigher gusts. Igor is a category two hurricane on theSaffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Some strengthening ispossible on Saturday...and Igor could become a major hurricaneagain. Gradual weakening is expected to begin by early Sunday.
Igor is a very large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outwardup to 105 miles...165 km...from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 345 miles...555 km. NOAA buoy41049...located about 185 miles...295 km...north-northwest of thecenter of Igor...recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph...70 km/hr...and a gust of 51 mph...83 km/hr.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reservehurricane hunter aircraft was 942 mb...27.82 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------wind...tropical storm conditions are expected in Bermuda by lateSaturday...with hurricane conditions expected on Sunday.
Rainfall...Igor is expected to produce total rainfall accumulationsof 5 to 8 inches over Bermuda.
Storm surge...a dangerous storm surge is expected to producesignificant coastal flooding on Bermuda. The surge will beaccompanied by large and destructive waves...especially along thesouthern coast.
Surf...large swells will continue to affect the Leeward Islands...Puerto Rico...the Virgin Islands...Hispaniola...and portions of theBahamas during the next couple of days. These swells will alsocause dangerous surf conditions in Bermuda during the next severaldays...which will worsen as Igor approaches. Swells will continueto affect the East Coast of the United States through the weekend.These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and ripcurrents. Please consult products from your local weather officefor additional information.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Brennan
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Old September 19th, 2010, 03:45 AM
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Statement as of 2:00 am AST on September 19, 2010

...Large Igor a little weaker...tropical storm conditions beginningto spread over Bermuda...

summary of 200 am AST...0600 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...28.3n 65.1wabout 275 mi...445 km S of Bermudamaximum sustained winds...90 mph...150 km/hrpresent movement...NNW or 340 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hrminimum central pressure...949 mb...28.02 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for...* Bermuda
for storm information specific to your area...please monitorproducts issued by your National meteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 200 am AST...0600 UTC...the center of Hurricane Igor was locatednear latitude 28.3 north...longitude 65.1 west. Igor is movingtoward the north-northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr...and a turntoward the north should begin soon. On the forecast track...thecenter of Igor will pass near or over Bermuda late Sunday or earlyMonday.
Data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicatethat maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph...150km/hr...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity arelikely between now and the time the hurricane moves near or overBermuda...but Igor is expected to remain a dangerous hurricaneduring that period. Gradual weakening should begin by late Mondayor Tuesday.
Igor is a very large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extendoutward up to 90 miles...150 km...from the center...and tropicalstorm force winds extend outward up to 345 miles...555 km. Observing sites in Bermuda have reported peak winds of tropicalstorm force in the last hour...including a peak wind of 54 mph...87 km/hr...at commissioners point.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane hunteraircraft was 949 mb...28.02 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------wind...tropical storm conditions are currently spreading overBermuda...and hurricane conditions are expected by Sunday afternoonor evening.
Rainfall...Igor is expected to produce total rainfall accumulationsof 6 to 9 inches over Bermuda.
Storm surge...a dangerous storm surge is expected to producesignificant coastal flooding on Bermuda. The surge will beaccompanied by large and destructive waves...especially along thesouthern coast.
Surf...large swells will continue to affect the East Coast of theUnited States through the weekend. Large swells will graduallysubside in the Leeward Islands...Puerto Rico...the Virgin Islands...Hispaniola...and portions of the Bahamas during the next coupleof days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surfand rip currents. Please consult products from your local weatheroffice for additional information.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Brennan
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Old September 21st, 2010, 06:50 PM
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