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Old September 13th, 2010, 02:26 AM
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Default Atlantic - Julia






Statement as of 2:00 am AST on September 13, 2010

...Julia nearing the southern Cape Verde Islands...

summary of 200 am AST...0600 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...14.0n 24.0wabout 60 mi...100 km SSE of the southernmost Cape Verde Islandsmaximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 300 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hrminimum central pressure...1004 mb...29.65 inches

watches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory...
none.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* the southern Cape Verde Islands...including maio...sao tiago...Fogo...and brava
for storm information specific to your area...please monitorproducts issued by your National meteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 200 am AST...0600 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Julia waslocated near latitude 14.0 north...longitude 24.0 west. Julia ismoving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr. Thisgeneral motion is expected to continue today...followed by a turntoward the northwest with a decrease in forward speed on Tuesday.On the forecast track...the center of Julia will pass near or overthe southernmost Cape Verde Islands today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with highergusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of daysand Julia could become a hurricane on Tuesday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 kmfrom the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to spread over thewarning area this morning.
Rainfall...Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of2 to 4 inches over much of the Cape Verde Islands...with possibleisolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. These rains could causelife-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Pasch
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Old September 14th, 2010, 03:01 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 13, 2010

...Julia moving west-northwestward...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...15.6n 28.0wabout 245 mi...395 km WNW of the southernmost Cape Verde Islandsmaximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hrminimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Julia waslocated near latitude 15.6 north...longitude 28.0 west. Julia ismoving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...20 km/hr. Thisgeneral motion is expected to continue overnight...followed by aturn toward the northwest with a slight decrease in forward speedon Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph...85 km/hr...with highergusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours...and Julia could become a hurricane during the next day or so.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles...130 kmfrom the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Brown
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Old September 15th, 2010, 03:04 AM
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Statement as of 12:30 am AST on September 15, 2010

...Julia strengthens rapidly...now a major hurricane with 125 mphwinds...

summary of 1230 am AST...0530 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...16.9n 31.3wabout 490 mi...785 km W of the Cape Verde Islandsmaximum sustained winds...125 mph...205 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hrminimum central pressure...955 mb...28.20 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1230 am AST...0530 UTC...the center of Hurricane Julia waslocated near latitude 16.9 north...longitude 31.3 west. Julia ismoving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr. A turntoward the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expectedtoday...followed by a turn back to the west-northwest with anadditional increase in forward speed on Thursday.
Satellite images indicate that Julia has strengthened rapidly overthe past several hours. Maximum sustained winds have increased tonear 125 mph...205 km/hr...with higher gusts. Julia is now acategory three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane windscale. Some additional strengthening is possible today.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...35 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105miles...165 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb...28.20 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...430 am AST.
$$Forecaster cangialosi/pascj
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Old September 16th, 2010, 02:45 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 15, 2010

...Julia weakens some more...

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...20.2n 34.6wabout 755 mi...1215 km WNW of the Cape Verde Islandsmaximum sustained winds...115 mph...185 km/hrpresent movement...NW or 315 degrees at 16 mph...26 km/hrminimum central pressure...962 mb...28.41 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Hurricane Julia waslocated near latitude 20.2 north...longitude 34.6 west. Julia ismoving toward the northwest near 16 mph...26 km/hr. A turn towardthe west-northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected tobegin on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph...185km/hr...with higher gusts. Julia is a category three hurricane onthe Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Additional weakening isforecast during the next 48 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125miles...205 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb...28.41 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Berg
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Old September 17th, 2010, 02:24 AM
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...Julia weakens a little more...



summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...23.5n 42.9wabout 1375 mi...2210 km SW of the Azoresmaximum sustained winds...80 mph...130 km/hrpresent movement...WNW or 290 degrees at 24 mph...39 km/hrminimum central pressure...983 mb...29.03 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Hurricane Julia waslocated near latitude 23.5 north...longitude 42.9 west. Julia ismoving toward the west-northwest near 24 mph...39 km/hr. A turntoward the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expectedby Friday...followed by a turn toward the north-northwest onSaturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with highergusts. Julia is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpsonhurricane wind scale. Weakening is expected during the next coupleof days...and Julia is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm onFriday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115miles...185 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb...29.03 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Brown
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Old September 18th, 2010, 02:53 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 17, 2010

...Julia weakens to a tropical storm....

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...26.0n 49.2wabout 1535 mi...2470 km WSW of the Azoresmaximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hrpresent movement...NW or 310 degrees at 16 mph...26 km/hrminimum central pressure...991 mb...29.26 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Julia waslocated near latitude 26.0 north...longitude 49.2 west. Julia ismoving toward the northwest near 16 mph. A turn toward thenorth-northwest is expected on Saturday...followed by a turn towardthe north-northeast on Sunday with a slight decrease in forwardspeed.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph...110km/hr...with higher gusts. Continued gradual weakening is forecastduring the next 48 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles...185 kmfrom the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Roberts/Avila
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Old September 19th, 2010, 03:44 AM
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Statement as of 11:00 PM AST on September 18, 2010

...Julia now moving quickly northward....

summary of 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...information-----------------------------------------------location...32.4n 51.9wabout 1455 mi...2340 km W of the Azoresmaximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/hrpresent movement...N or 360 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hrminimum central pressure...998 mb...29.47 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Julia waslocated near latitude 32.4 north...longitude 51.9 west. Julia ismoving toward the north near 14 mph...22 km/hr. This general motionis expected to continue tonight...followed by a gradual turn to thenortheast by Sunday afternoon.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph...85 km/hr...with highergusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours...and Julia is forecast to become a remnant low by early Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km...mainly east of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb...29.47 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------next complete advisory...500 am AST.
$$Forecaster Stewart
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