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Old November 3rd, 2001, 10:21 PM
sailinglisa
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Default Hurricane Michelle Update

Please - everyone in South Florida and the Keys - please take cover and be safe!!


BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST SAT NOV 03 2001
...TO ADD SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MICHELLE EXPECTED TO HIT CUBA ON SUNDAY...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS... INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS ON SUNDAY MORNING.

AT 10 PM EST...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH.
AT 10 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI
...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF GRAND CAYMAN.

AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA AND 105 MILES...175 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH CUBA.
MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE SHOULD BE PASSING OVER OR VERY CLOSE TO ISLE OF YOUTH EARLY SUNDAY AND THEN ACROSS CUBA LATER IN THE DAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES.

OUTER RAINBANDS ARE LOCATED OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HEAVY SQUALLS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10-20 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF MICHELLE.
STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET...NEAR 6 METERS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 10 PM EST POSITION...20.0 N... 83.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM EST...SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old November 4th, 2001, 11:15 AM
Flyrod
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Default Re: Hurricane Michelle Update

well if it's gonna happen to the west coast of florida I hope it puts the sand back on south lido beach. they pumped it in last march and most of it washed out this summer in the storm.
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Old November 4th, 2001, 06:34 PM
Lady Jag
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Default Re: Hurricane Michelle Update

Sure would hate to be on a cruise ship this week, even if they were avoiding the storm. The waves would still be an 'experience'. No thanks - this is one time I wouldn't want to be on a cruise!
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